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As the Alabama Crimson Tide face off against the Florida State Seminoles, prop bettors have a number of intriguing markets to evaluate. This Alabama vs Florida State matchup features a trio of key players with lines that demand attention. With playoff implications looming and each game becoming more critical, player prop bets are drawing increasing interest from sharp bettors.
Matchup Preview: Alabama vs Florida State Player Prop Trends
Alabama have relied heavily on their core players. Meanwhile, Florida State’s defense has been inconsistent, especially later on in the game, which has opened up opportunities.Â
1. Ty Simpson – Passing Yards
- Line: Under 249.5 (-115)
- Szn Avg: 27.83 yards
- 📉 Huge gap alert. Simpson’s season average is barely cracking 30, and now he’s got a line near 250? That’s a massive overinflation, likely due to depth chart shifts or speculation.
- 🧠Edge angle: Unless he’s locked in as the starter and expected to throw deep, smash the under here.
2. Roydell Williams – Rushing Yards
- Line: Under 34.5 (-113)
- Szn Avg: 13.25 yards
- 📊 Volume risk + FSU run D. Williams is barely averaging 13 yards a game. Florida State brings pressure early, and Alabama’s backfield is crowded.
- đź’ˇ Play it smart: If usage trends continue, the under 34.5 looks like solid value.
3. Conor Talty – Extra Points Made
- Line: Under 3.5 (-115)
- Szn Avg: 1
- 🔥 Best PrizePicks Fade? Alabama would need 4+ TDs just to hit the over. With a season average of just 1 made XP, that line is assuming a blowout pace.
- ⚠️ Game script matters, but unless Bama runs up the score, lean under here too.
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