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As the Phoenix Mercury take on the Minnesota Lynx, bettors are honing in on individual player prop markets that show strong signals. With both teams trending in different directions offensively, tonight’s matchup offers key opportunities to target underperforming lines. This breakdown highlights the top Mercury vs Lynx player props with strong trends, value lines, and data-driven rationale.
Matchup Preview: Mercury vs Lynx Player Props
Phoenix continues to lean heavily on its veteran guards, while Minnesota has relied on a more balanced distribution of offensive output. Expect a game with modest pace and potential inefficiency in half-court execution. That dynamic favors a few player prop unders based on recent form and season averages.

Sami Whitcomb Player Prop
Sami Whitcomb’s scoring line is set at 12.5, despite her season average sitting at just 10.09 PPG. She’s only cleared this line in 4 of her last 10 games and has been held under 8 points in three of her last four. A recent outlier 36-point explosion against Dallas inflates her perception, but her standard output falls short of this line.
- Season Average: 10.09 PPG
- Line vs Avg: +2.41 differential
- Recent Games: 6 of last 10 under 12.5 points
- Best Line: Under 12.5 (-110) on FanDuel

Sami Whitcomb Player Prop
Whitcomb’s assist line of 3.5 exceeds her season average of 2.5 per game. She’s gone under this mark in 7 of her last 10 contests, including four straight games with 1 or fewer assists before a recent bounce back. With limited usage as a primary creator, this line appears inflated based on a couple of standout games.
- Season Average: 2.5 APG
- Line vs Avg: +1.0 differential
- Recent Games: 7 of last 10 under 3.5 assists
- Best Line: Under 3.5 (-135) at BetMGM

Natisha Hiedeman Player Prop
Hiedeman is averaging 7.23 points per game this season, and her current line of 5.5 offers immediate value. She’s gone over this number in 3 of her last 4 games, including a recent 18-point breakout. With increased minutes and confidence, this is a spot where the over presents strong value.
- Season Average: 7.23 PPG
- Line vs Avg: -1.73 differential
- Recent Games: Over in 3 of last 4
- Best Line: Over 5.5 (-105) at most books

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